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Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 8% in July
3 months ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

From Dodge Data Analytics: Dodge Momentum Index Expands Another 8% in July The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, increased 7.9% in July to 216.3 (2000=100) from the revised June reading of 200.5. Over the month, commercial planning increased 6.8% and institutional planning expanded 11.1%. “While data centers have had an outsized influence on nonresidential planning activity in recent months, more momentum is building across many other major sectors and diversifying the story behind July’s growth,” stated Sarah Martin, associate director of forecasting at Dodge Construction Network. “The potential Fed rate cut in September is becoming increasingly more likely, alongside slower inflation and weaker labor market conditions. This is likely driving owners and developers to remain optimistic about 2025 market conditions and pushing more projec...

The Opportunity Cost of Market Timing in T-Bills
3 months ago by Ben Carlson @ A Wealth of Common Sense

What to do if you're holding T-bills and worried about lower rates from Fed Cuts The post The Opportunity Cost of Market Timing in T-Bills appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense. ...

Be careful before you jump into these types of trades
3 months ago by Akil Stokes (Trading Coach at Tier On... @ Trading Coach Podcast

Be careful before you jump into these types of trades

CAUTION! Growth Stocks say "Don't Trust This Rebound!"
3 months ago by StockCharts TV @ StockCharts.com YouTube Channel

Join Tom Bowley, Chief Market Strategist at EarningsBeats, as he analyzes the current stock market rebound. Tom shows multiple growth stock charts, warning us that the worst stock selling may still be ahead of us. The IWF:IWD ratio chart, XLK, XLY, and XLC are just a few of the charts telling us to be very careful and not trust this rebound attempt. ➡️ Tom’s recorded webinar, “Pullback or Crash?”: https://www.earningsbeats.com/public/Recording-Pullback-or-Crash.cfm ➡️ Tom’s Chart of the Day: https://earningsbeats.com/sc ➡️ Follow Tom on social: https://social.earningsbeats.com 👀 See what better financial charting can do for you! Start your FREE 1-month trial today at https://stockcharts.com 👍🏻 If you enjoyed this video be sure to hit the THUMBS UP ✅ If you found value, consider SUBSCRIBING to our channel and ring the bell so you never miss a new video! Subscribe Here: https://tinyurl.com/wvet7qj 00:00 - Welcome! 00:20 - The Economy and the FED 02:35 - Dow Jones Industrial Avera...

Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.9% YoY
3 months ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

What this means: On a weekly basis, Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in active inventory and new listings. On a monthly basis, they report total inventory. For June, Realtor.com reported inventory was up 36.6% YoY, but still down 30.6% compared to April 2017 to 2019 levels.  Now - on a weekly basis - inventory is up 35.9% YoY. Realtor.com has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report: Weekly Housing Trends View—Data for Week Ending August 3, 2024• Active inventory increased, with for-sale homes 35.9% above year-ago levels. For the 39th week in a row, the number of for-sale homes grew compared with one year ago. While the gap with last year has g...

Thursday links: mental volatility
3 months ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

Is the VIX Broken? Three Ways to Measure Market Risk!
3 months ago by David Keller @ See It Market

In my most recent video I discuss the spike in the VIX volatility index that has raised concerns about the potential implications for major equity indexes like the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. By analyzing historical examples of extreme VIX levels and comparing them to the current market environment, we can gain valuable insights into […] The post Is the VIX Broken? Three Ways to Measure Market Risk! appeared first on See It Market.

Stock to Bond Ratio Testing Important Price Support!
3 months ago by Chris Kimble @ Kimble Charting Solutions

 It’s important for investors to follow stocks and bonds. And even more important to understand the relationship between them. Today, we highlight the past 20-years of there relationship via the S&P 500 Index to $TLT (long-term treasury bonds ETF) price ratio. In general, the stock market is doing well when stocks out-perform bonds (ratio heading […]

Longform links: significant severance costs
3 months ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

Thursdays are all about longform links on Abnormal Returns. Wherever possible, free links for premium sites are used. You can check out...

Use The Best Tools For Your Trading
3 months ago by Dave Mabe @ Dave Mabe

My wife and I love going to Boone, NC for long weekends of running, riding, and relaxing which… The post Use The Best Tools For Your Trading first appeared on Dave Mabe.

Overcoming Emotional Trading - Part Two: Training Your Focus
3 months ago by Brett Steenbarger, Ph.D. @ TraderFeed

 So often, the problem ...

This was a 😱 SCARY, yet vital lesson about trading #TradingTips #LearnToTrade #TradingForBeginners
3 months ago by Akil Stokes (Trading Coach at Tier On... @ Trading Coach Podcast

This was a 😱 SCARY, yet vital lesson about trading. #TradingTips #LearnToTrade #TradingLessons #TradingForBeginners

The Golden Cross And Death Cross (An Essential Guide)
3 months ago by TradingwithRayner Editorial @ Trading with Rayner

Discover how to trade the golden cross and death cross to capture monster trends to bring your profits to the moon The post The Golden Cross And Death Cross (An Essential Guide) appeared first on TradingwithRayner.

Investors Should Watch High Yield Debt Right Now
3 months ago by Michele Schneider @ See It Market

I wrote about long bonds TLT starting in June and how they could be the next big trade. They were, but for a week or so only at this point. The reasoning was that high yields would start to come down and the Fed would cut rates in September, potentially too little too late. And […] The post Investors Should Watch High Yield Debt Right Now appeared first on See It Market.

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