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California Home Sales Up 9.5% SA YoY in October
about 22 hours ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

Today, in the CalculatedRisk Real Estate Newsletter: California Home Sales Up 9.5% SA YoY in October Excerpt: The National Association of Realtors (NAR) is scheduled to release October Existing Home sales on Thursday, Nov 21st at 10:00 AM. The consensus is for 3.88 million SAAR, up from 3.84 million in September. Last year, the NAR reported sales in October 2023 at 3.85 million SAAR. This will be the first year-over-year gain since August 2021 following 37 months with a year-over-year decline. Housing economist Tom Lawler expects the NAR to report sales of 3.97 million SAAR for October. ... From the California Association of Realtors® (C.A.R.): California hou...

Animal Spirits: Everyone in the Pool
1 day ago by Ben Carlson @ A Wealth of Common Sense

On today's show we discuss 7 years of Animal Spirits, the miracle of US equities, the wall of worry has fallen, S&P 10,000, massive ETF flows, vibes rule everything around me, are crypto winters a thing of the past, where the low housing price are, becoming a grandparent and much more. The post Animal Spirits: Everyone in the Pool appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense. ...

Dumb Trading Decisions
1 day ago by Akil Stokes (Trading Coach at Tier On... @ Trading Coach Podcast

I made a lot of dumb decisions at the beginning of my trading career. 🎶LISTEN TO THE FULL EPISODE ON YOUR FAVORITE PODCASTING APP 🎵APPLE - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/1048-2-tactics-to-stop-taking-bad-trades/id1359294814?i=1000676134422 🎵SPOTIFY - https://open.spotify.com/episode/4pDcG0otszYLkqlwpUJdSJ?si=68dd457db44f4aaa

Are Retail Stocks Nearing Historic Breakout?
1 day ago by Michele Schneider @ See It Market

For Turnaround Tuesday, let’s re-examine the Retail Sector ETF (XRT), which we have tracked all year. Since February 2024, the Retail Sector (XRT) has been in a massive consolidation. While the XRT ETF recently looked poised for a breakout and a weekly close over $80, the disappointing news is that it has yet to happen. […] The post Are Retail Stocks Nearing Historic Breakout? appeared first on See It Market.

XRT

Buyers defend 20-day MAs in Russell 2000, S&P and Nasdaq
1 day ago by noreply@blogger.com (Declan Fallon) @ Fallond Picks

After days of selling triggered by escalating events in Ukraine there was at least a modicum of relief for markets as buyers stepped in at 20-day MAs across lead indices. Because of this, breakout gaps remain intact and markets have the opportunity to return to their highs. Risk:reward can be worked off the lows (lowest low of the last 3 days). Those of a bearish persuassion may view recent gaps as potential "island reversals", but if these prove true, then such overhead gaps can't close. The Russell 2000 ($IWM) had produced the biggest breakout gap, but also suffered the hardest selling post-election. Today's defense of the 20-day MA come with prior 'sell' triggers in the MACD (a weak signal from above the bullish zero line), and On-Balance-Volume. There remains an ongoing battle between Small Caps and Nasdaq in the relative performance stakes and this hasn't been resolved in favor of one or the other. <a href="https://bl...

Three Ways Top Investors Track Sector Rotation
1 day ago by StockCharts TV @ StockCharts.com YouTube Channel

David Keller, CMT outlines three tools he uses on the StockCharts platform to analyze sector rotation, from sector relative strength ratios to the powerful Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG). Dave shares how institutional investors think about sector rotation strategies, and evaluates the current evidence to determine how money managers are allocating between offensive and defensive sectors following the US elections. ➡️ Follow Dave on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DKellerCMT 👀 See what better financial charting can do for you! Start your FREE 1-month trial today at https://stockcharts.com 👍🏻 If you enjoyed this video be sure to hit the THUMBS UP ✅ If you found value, consider SUBSCRIBING to our channel and ring the bell so you never miss a new video! Subscribe Here: https://tinyurl.com/wvet7qj 00:00 - Welcome to the Show! 01:49 - Consumer Discretionary (XLY) 06:06 - Growth Sectors RS 09:01 - Value Sectors RS 12:01 - Defensive Sectors RS 16:54 - Discretionary vs. Staples XLY:XL...

Lawler: Observations Ahead of the December FOMC Meeting
1 day ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

From housing economist Tom Lawler: According to CME FedWatch, the “market-based” probability that the FOMC will cut its federal funds rate target by 25 bp at its December meeting is about 59%. Folks will also play close attention to the release of the FOMC’s Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) from meeting participants. Below is a table showing some of the key projections from the last four SEPs. <img alt="LA Area SEP" border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj3DqmiYcehQhn4PGPiBC2fu6MuirDR3DnTy3ATBC_YFpvMmeveKgVVHWTo...

How To Read Momentum On A Price Chart
1 day ago by Akil Stokes (Trading Coach at Tier On... @ Trading Coach Podcast

How To Read Momentum On A Price Chart Watch the Full Video Here ▶️ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pSgPKUC3na0&t=324s

Tuesday links: a penchant for risk
2 days ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

Q3 Retail Stocks Earnings In Focus As Black Friday Nears
2 days ago by Christine Short @ See It Market

Q3 S&P 500 EPS growth is expected to come in at 5.4% for Q3 earnings. This would mark the fifth consecutive quarter of growth. Important corporate earnings reports this week include Nvidia (NVDA), Walmart (WMT), Lowe’s (LOW), TJX Companies (TJX), and Target (TGT). Investors should also be aware of large cap outlier earnings in the […] The post Q3 Retail Stocks Earnings In Focus As Black Friday Nears appeared first on See It Market.

Long Beach Port Traffic Surges to Record in October; Importers Rushing to Beat Tariffs?
2 days ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

I'll have more on port traffic once Los Angeles releases their data for October. From the Port of Long Beach: Port of Long Beach Reaches All-Time Record in October The Port of Long Beach moved nearly 1 million cargo containers in October, achieving its strongest month in its 113-year history, driven by brisk demand for holiday goods and delayed containership arrivals caused by a nearby traffic incident and fire that affected some terminal operations at the end of September. Dockworkers and terminal operators moved 987,191 twenty-foot equivalent units in October, up 30.7% from the same month last year and surpassing the Port’s previous all-time one-month record set just two months earlier in August 2024 by 8%. Imports jumped 34.2% to 487,563 TEUs and exports rose 25.3% to 112,845 TEUs. Empty containers moved through the Port ...

Stock Market Risk Ratios Bullish; Gold and Silver Fall
2 days ago by Michele Schneider @ See It Market

I ended last week on Maggie Lake’s podcast.   During the discussion, we covered a lot of topics, and I encourage you to go have a listen as we offer actionable information on the stock market and associated risks.  One of the topics we covered is the notion of stock market risk parameters, and how we […] The post Stock Market Risk Ratios Bullish; Gold and Silver Fall appeared first on See It Market.

GOLD